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2024-12-14 01:15:38

Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.The law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 Philippine citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. On December 12, the law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 China citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. This is the fourth batch of repatriation between China and the Philippines after the Philippine government announced a total ban on offshore gambling in the Philippines. The Philippine Embassy in the Philippines will continue to strengthen law enforcement cooperation with the Philippine side and promote the orderly repatriation of relevant personnel on the basis of protecting the legitimate rights and interests of China citizens.


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)


Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.Google executives: Search for artificial intelligence is the biggest bet, with an estimated investment of 50 billion yuan in 2024. ruth porat, president and chief investment officer of Google, revealed at a conference that Google's biggest bet is to apply artificial intelligence to search business. Despite the problems of technical competition and artificial intelligence model, Google is still firmly pushing forward this strategy. Polat emphasized that integrating artificial intelligence into search business is Google's current core strategy. Google has introduced an overview of AI into the search tool, added advertisements to it, and introduced shopping advertisements to Google Lens. Despite the existence of false or misleading results such as artificial intelligence illusion, Google is still optimistic about the development potential of artificial intelligence in the search field. In addition to the search business, Polat also pointed out that Google Cloud is another important investment of the company. When answering a question about whether Google's investment cost in artificial intelligence will follow the industry trend, Polat said that artificial intelligence represents "an opportunity for generations". She revealed that Google plans to spend $50 billion on chips, data centers and other capital expenditures in 2024, but stressed that Google will make careful bets based on the results.Yin Xiyue denied that emergency martial law was a civil strife. South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech today (December 12), denying that "emergency martial law" was a "civil strife". He once again criticized the opposition party for enslaving Congress and abusing the power to impeach public officials. Yin Xiyue said that both impeachment and investigation will face it head-on.

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